Beyond Kemeny Medians: Consensus Ranking Distributions Definition, Properties and Statistical Learning

arXiv:2602.10640v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: In this article we develop a new method for summarizing a ranking distribution, textit{i.e.} a probability distribution on the symmetric group $mathfrak{S}_n$, beyond the classical theory of consensus and Kemeny medians. Based on the notion of textit{local ranking median}, we introduce the concept of textit{consensus ranking distribution} ($crd$), a sparse mixture model of Dirac masses on $mathfrak{S}_n$, in order to approximate a ranking distribution with small distortion from a mass transportation perspective. We prove that by choosing the popular Kendall $tau$ distance as the cost function, the optimal distortion can be expressed as a function of pairwise probabilities, paving the way for the development of efficient learning methods that do not suffer from the lack of vector space structure on $mathfrak{S}_n$. In particular, we propose a top-down tree-structured statistical algorithm that allows for the progressive refinement of a CRD based on ranking data, from the Dirac mass at a Kemeny median at the root of the tree to the empirical ranking data distribution itself at the end of the tree’s exhaustive growth. In addition to the theoretical arguments developed, the relevance of the algorithm is empirically supported by various numerical experiments.