A Scan-Based Analysis of Internet-Exposed IoT Devices Using Shodan Data

arXiv:2602.15263v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: An open measurement problem in IoT security is whether scan-observable network configurations encode population-level exposure risk beyond individual devices. An analysis of internet-exposed IoT endpoints using a controlled multi-country sample from Shodan Search and Shodan InternetDB, selecting 100 hosts identified via TCP port 7547 (TR-069/CWMP) and evenly distributed across the ten most represented countries. Hosts are enriched with scan-derived metadata and analyzed using feature-relevance assessment, cross-country comparisons of open and risky port exposure, and supervised classification of higher-risk exposure profiles. The analysis reveals consistent cross-country differences in exposure structure, with mean risky-port counts ranging from 0.4 to 1.0 per host, and achieves balanced accuracy of approximately 0.61 when classifying higher-risk exposure profiles.