$phi$-test: Global Feature Selection and Inference for Shapley Additive Explanations

arXiv:2512.07578v2 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: We propose $phi$-test, a global feature-selection and significance procedure for black-box predictors that combines Shapley attributions with selective inference. Given a trained model and an evaluation dataset, $phi$-test performs SHAP-guided screening and fits a linear surrogate on the screened features via a selection rule with a tractable selective-inference form. For each retained feature, it outputs a Shapley-based global score, a surrogate coefficient, and post-selection $p$-values and confidence intervals in a global feature-importance table. Experiments on real tabular regression tasks with tree-based and neural backbones suggest that $phi$-test can retain much of the predictive ability of the original model while using only a few features and producing feature sets that remain fairly stable across resamples and backbone classes. In these settings, $phi$-test acts as a practical global explanation layer linking Shapley-based importance summaries with classical statistical inference.