arXiv:2602.06176v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Language Models (LLMs) have exhibited remarkable reasoning capabilities, achieving impressive results across a wide range of tasks. Despite these advances, significant reasoning failures persist, occurring even in seemingly simple scenarios. To systematically understand and address these shortcomings, we present the first comprehensive survey dedicated to reasoning failures in LLMs. We introduce a novel categorization framework that distinguishes reasoning into embodied and non-embodied types, with the latter further subdivided into informal (intuitive) and […]

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arXiv:2603.24704v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In deploying artificial intelligence (AI) models, selective prediction offers the option to abstain from making a prediction when uncertain about model quality. To fulfill its promise, it is crucial to enforce strict and precise error control over cases where the model is trusted. We propose Selective Conformal Risk control with E-values (SCoRE), a new framework for deriving such decisions for any trained model and any user-defined, bounded and continuously-valued risk. SCoRE offers two […]

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arXiv:2602.07203v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Structural Causal Models (SCM) are a powerful framework for describing complicated dynamics across the natural sciences. A particularly elegant way of interpreting SCMs is do-Shapley, a game-theoretic method of quantifying the average effect of $d$ variables across exponentially many interventions. Like Shapley values, computing do-Shapley values generally requires evaluating exponentially many terms. The foundation of our work is a reformulation of do-Shapley values in terms of the irreducible sets of the underlying SCM. […]

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The life of a prescription at Amazon Pharmacy From pricing estimation and regulatory compliance to inventory management and chatbot assistants, machine learning models help Amazon Pharmacy customers stay healthy and save time and money. Conversational AI Alexandre Alves Anita Vila September 30, 01:32 PM October 02, 11:42 AM Pharmacies play a vital role in ensuring patients health, but the process of dispensing medications is far more complex than it may appear. At Amazon Pharmacy, we are using artificial […]

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arXiv:2509.21181v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: For overparameterized linear regression with isotropic Gaussian design and minimum-$ell_p$ interpolator $pin(1,2]$, we give a unified, high-probability characterization for the scaling of the family of parameter norms $ \{ lVert widehat{w_p} rVert_r \}_{r in [1,p]} $ with sample size. We solve this basic, but unresolved question through a simple dual-ray analysis, which reveals a competition between a signal *spike* and a *bulk* of null coordinates in $X^top Y$, yielding closed-form predictions for (i) […]

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arXiv:2602.00868v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Autonomous robots operating in unstructured, safety-critical environments, from planetary exploration to warehouses and homes, must learn to safely navigate and interact with their surroundings despite limited prior knowledge. Current methods for safe control, such as Hamilton-Jacobi Reachability and Control Barrier Functions, assume known system dynamics. Meanwhile existing safe exploration techniques often fail to account for the unavoidable stochasticity inherent when operating in unknown real world environments, such as an exploratory rover skidding over […]

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Prediction markets reported their strongest week, with Kalshi hitting a notional volume of $3.54 billion while Polymarket recorded $2.48 billion; the industry’s combined notional volume crossed $6.5 billion, setting a new overall high, according to DeFi Rate. Image source: DeFi Rate This surge coincides with a positive outlook on the industry by Bank of America Analysts who expect sports-related events contracts to hit $1.1 trillion per year. Bernstein also estimates that total market volumes will reach $240 billion […]

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arXiv:2603.03401v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper proposes a novel parameter selection strategy for kernel-based gradient descent (KGD) algorithms, integrating bias-variance analysis with the splitting method. We introduce the concept of empirical effective dimension to quantify iteration increments in KGD, deriving an adaptive parameter selection strategy that is implementable. Theoretical verifications are provided within the framework of learning theory. Utilizing the recently developed integral operator approach, we rigorously demonstrate that KGD, equipped with the proposed adaptive parameter selection […]

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arXiv:2603.12366v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We establish a theoretical link between the recently proposed “drifting” generative dynamics and gradient flows induced by the Sinkhorn divergence. In a particle discretization, the drift field admits a cross-minus-self decomposition: an attractive term toward the target distribution and a repulsive/self-correction term toward the current model, both expressed via one-sided normalized Gibbs kernels. We show that Sinkhorn divergence yields an analogous cross-minus-self structure, but with each term defined by entropic optimal-transport couplings obtained […]

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