Predicting Long-Term Self-Rated Health in Small Areas Using Ordinal Regression and Microsimulation
arXiv:2601.14335v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents an approach for predicting the self-rated health of individuals in a future population utilising the individuals’ socio-economic characteristics. An open-source microsimulation is used to project Ireland’s population into the future where each individual is defined by a number of demographic and socio-economic characteristics. The model is disaggregated spatially at the Electoral Division level, allowing for analysis of results at that, or any broader geographical scales. Ordinal regression is utilised to […]