technocracy

arXiv:2601.21887v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We design a variational state estimation (VSE) method that provides a closed-form Gaussian posterior of an underlying complex dynamical process from (noisy) nonlinear measurements. The complex process is model-free. That is, we do not have a suitable physics-based model characterizing the temporal evolution of the process state. The closed-form Gaussian posterior is provided by a recurrent neural network (RNN). The use of RNN is computationally simple in the inference phase. For learning the […]

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arXiv:2602.05036v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Can multi-task self-supervised learning on graphs be coordinated without the usual tug-of-war between objectives? Graph self-supervised learning (SSL) offers a growing toolbox of pretext objectives: mutual information, reconstruction, contrastive learning; yet combining them reliably remains a challenge due to objective interference and training instability. Most multi-pretext pipelines use per-update mixing, forcing every parameter update to be a compromise, leading to three failure modes: Disagreement (conflict-induced negative transfer), Drift (nonstationary objective utility), and Drought […]

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arXiv:2604.04977v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Software supply chain security compromises often stem from cascaded interactions of vulnerabilities, for example, between multiple vulnerable components. Yet, Software Bill of Materials (SBOM)-based pipelines for security analysis typically treat scanner findings as independent per-CVE (Common Vulnerabilities and Exposures) records. We propose a new research direction based on learning multi-vulnerability attack chains through a novel SBOM-driven graph-learning approach. This treats SBOM structure and scanner outputs as a dependency-constrained evidence graph rather than a […]

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arXiv:2602.17783v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning (ML) has been increasingly used for topology optimization (TO). However, most existing ML-based approaches focus on simplified benchmark problems due to their high computational cost, spectral bias, and difficulty in handling complex physics. These limitations become more pronounced in multi-material, multi-physics problems whose objective or constraint functions are not self-adjoint. To address these challenges, we propose a framework based on physics-informed Gaussian processes (PIGPs). In our approach, the primary, adjoint, and […]

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arXiv:2604.25655v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Nonlinear dynamical systems with regime transitions are typically described by ordinary differential equations with jumping parameters parameters. Traditional methods often treat change-point detection and parameter estimation as separate tasks, ignoring the inherent coupling between them. To address this, we propose residual-loss anomaly analysis of physics-informed neural networks, a unified framework that leverages dynamical consistency within the physics-informed learning paradigm. This approach jointly infers piecewise parameters and transition points under a single set of […]

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arXiv:2602.14244v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Federated Learning provides a privacy-preserving paradigm for distributed learning, but suffers from statistical heterogeneity across clients. Personalized Federated Learning (PFL) mitigates this issue by considering client-specific models. A widely adopted approach in PFL decomposes neural networks into a shared feature extractor and client-specific heads. While effective, this design induces a fundamental tradeoff: deep or expressive shared components hinder personalization, whereas large local heads exacerbate overfitting under limited per-client data. Most existing methods rely […]

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We develop a semi-parametric state-space model for time-series data with latent regime transitions. Classical Markov-switching models use fixed parametric transition functions, such as logistic or probit links, which restrict flexibility when transitions depend on nonlinear and context-dependent effects. We replace this assumption with learned functions $f_0, f_1 in calH$, where $calH$ is either a reproducing kernel Hilbert space or a spline approximation space, and define transition probabilities as $p_{jk,t} = sigmoid(f(bx_{t-1}))$. The transition functions are estimated jointly with […]

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Deep neural networks are typically trained by uniformly sampling large datasets across epochs, despite evidence that not all samples contribute equally throughout learning. Recent work shows that progressively reducing the amount of training data can improve efficiency and generalization, but existing methods rely on fixed schedules that do not adapt during training. In this work, we propose Adaptive Data Dropout, a simple framework that dynamically adjusts the subset of training data based on performance feedback. Inspired by self-regulated […]

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arXiv:2602.04917v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Analysis and anomaly detection in event tensor streams consisting of timestamps and multiple attributes – such as communication logs(time, IP address, packet length)- are essential tasks in data mining. While existing tensor decomposition and anomaly detection methods provide useful insights, they face the following two limitations. (i) They cannot handle heterogeneous tensor streams, which comprises both categorical attributes(e.g., IP address) and continuous attributes(e.g., packet length). They typically require either discretizing continuous attributes or […]

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