technocracy

arXiv:2603.19804v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We use the law of total variance to generate multiple expansions for the posterior predictive variance. These expansions are sums of terms involving conditional expectations and conditional variances and provide a quantification of the sources of predictive uncertainty. Since the posterior predictive variance is fixed given the model, it represents a constant quantity that is conserved over these expansions. The terms in the expansions can be assessed in absolute or relative sense to […]

Ver mais

arXiv:2601.07892v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) on resource-constrained edge devices is increasingly hindered by prohibitive memory and computational requirements. While ternary quantization offers a compelling solution by reducing weights to {-1, 0, +1}, current implementations suffer from a fundamental misalignment with commodity hardware. Most existing methods must choose between 2-bit aligned packing, which incurs significant bit wastage, or 1.67-bit irregular packing, which degrades inference speed. To resolve this tension, we propose Sherry, […]

Ver mais

arXiv:2603.00700v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Generative recommendation has emerged as a scalable alternative to traditional retrieve-and-rank pipelines by operating in a compact token space. However, existing methods mainly rely on discrete code-level supervision, which leads to information loss and limits the joint optimization between the tokenizer and the generative recommender. In this work, we propose a distribution-level supervision paradigm that leverages probability distributions over multi-layer codebooks as soft and information-rich representations. Building on this idea, we introduce Semantic-Oriented […]

Ver mais

Label noise in multi-label learning (MLL) poses significant challenges for model training, particularly in partial multi-label learning (PML) where candidate labels contain both relevant and irrelevant labels. While clustering offers a natural approach to exploit data structure for noise identification, traditional clustering methods cannot be directly applied to multi-label scenarios due to a fundamental incompatibility: clustering produces membership values that sum to one per instance, whereas multi-label assignments require binary values that can sum to any number. We […]

Ver mais

arXiv:2110.07478v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: It is often of interest to infer lower-dimensional structure underlying complex data. As a flexible class of non-linear structures, it is common to focus on Riemannian manifolds. Most existing manifold learning algorithms replace the original data with lower-dimensional coordinates without providing an estimate of the manifold or using the manifold to denoise the original data. This article proposes a new methodology to address these problems, allowing interpolation of the estimated manifold between the […]

Ver mais

arXiv:2506.10586v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Determining whether an algorithmic decision-making system discriminates against a specific demographic typically involves comparing a single point estimate of a fairness metric against a predefined threshold. This practice is statistically brittle: it ignores sampling error and treats small demographic subgroups the same as large ones. The problem intensifies in intersectional analyses, where multiple sensitive attributes are considered jointly, giving rise to a larger number of smaller groups. As these groups become more granular, […]

Ver mais

arXiv:2602.06899v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Recovering a unique causal graph from observational data is an ill-posed problem because multiple generating mechanisms can lead to the same observational distribution. This problem becomes solvable only by exploiting specific structural or distributional assumptions. While recent work has separately utilized time-series dynamics or multi-environment heterogeneity to constrain this problem, we integrate both as complementary sources of heterogeneity. This integration yields unified necessary identifiability conditions and enables a rigorous analysis of the statistical […]

Ver mais

arXiv:2603.10051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Self-supervised masked modeling shows promise for encrypted traffic classification by masking and reconstructing raw bytes. Yet recent work reveals these methods fail to reduce reliance on labeled data despite costly pretraining: under frozen encoder evaluation, accuracy drops from greater than 0.9 to less than 0.47. We argue the root cause is inductive bias mismatch: flattening traffic into byte sequences destroys protocol-defined semantics. We identify three specific issues: 1) field unpredictability, random fields like […]

Ver mais