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arXiv:2507.12686v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study the Finite-Dimensional Distributions (FDDs) of deep neural networks with randomly initialized weights that have finite-order moments. Specifically, we establish Gaussian approximation bounds in the Wasserstein-$1$ norm between the FDDs and their Gaussian limit assuming a Lipschitz activation function and allowing the layer widths to grow to infinity at arbitrary relative rates. In the special case where all widths are proportional to a common scale parameter $n$ and there are $L-1$ hidden […]

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arXiv:2505.23783v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In-Context Learning (ICL) allows Large Language Models (LLMs) to adapt to new tasks with just a few examples, but their predictions often suffer from systematic biases, leading to unstable performance in classification. While calibration techniques are proposed to mitigate these biases, we show that, in the logit space, many of these methods are equivalent to merely shifting the LLM’s decision boundary without having the ability to alter its orientation. This proves inadequate when […]

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arXiv:2412.19436v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Reinforcement learning from human feedback (RLHF) has become a cornerstone for aligning large language models with human preferences. However, the heterogeneity of human feedback, driven by diverse individual contexts and preferences, poses significant challenges for reward learning. To address this, we propose a Low-rank Contextual RLHF (LoCo-RLHF) framework that integrates contextual information to better model heterogeneous feedback while maintaining computational efficiency. Our approach builds on a contextual preference model, leveraging the intrinsic low-rank […]

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arXiv:2312.05645v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study the problem of hypothesis selection under the constraint of local differential privacy. Given a class $mathcal{F}$ of $k$ distributions and a set of i.i.d. samples from an unknown distribution $h$, the goal of hypothesis selection is to pick a distribution $hat{f}$ whose total variation distance to $h$ is comparable with the best distribution in $mathcal{F}$ (with high probability). We devise an $varepsilon$-locally-differentially-private ($varepsilon$-LDP) algorithm that uses $Thetaleft(frac{k}{alpha^2min {varepsilon^2,1}}right)$ samples to guarantee […]

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arXiv:2603.04323v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Federated learning (FL) faces two structural tensions: gradient sharing enables data-reconstruction attacks, while non-IID client distributions degrade aggregation quality. We introduce PTOPOFL, a framework that addresses both challenges simultaneously by replacing gradient communication with topological descriptors derived from persistent homology (PH). Clients transmit only 48-dimensional PH feature vectors-compact shape summaries whose many-to-one structure makes inversion provably ill-posed-rather than model gradients. The server performs topology-guided personalised aggregation: clients are clustered by Wasserstein similarity between […]

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arXiv:2603.04275v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce inference methods for score decompositions, which partition scoring functions for predictive assessment into three interpretable components: miscalibration, discrimination, and uncertainty. Our estimation and inference relies on a linear recalibration of the forecasts, which is applicable to general multi-step ahead point forecasts such as means and quantiles due to its validity for both smooth and non-smooth scoring functions. This approach ensures desirable finite-sample properties, enables asymptotic inference, and establishes a direct connection […]

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arXiv:2603.04109v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In causal analysis, understanding the causal mechanisms through which an intervention or treatment affects an outcome is often of central interest. We propose a test to evaluate (i) whether the causal effect of a treatment that is randomly assigned conditional on covariates is fully mediated by, or operates exclusively through, observed intermediate outcomes (referred to as mediators or surrogate outcomes), and (ii) whether the various causal mechanisms operating through different mediators are identifiable […]

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arXiv:2603.04007v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study fixed budget constrained best-arm identification in grouped bandits, where each arm consists of multiple independent attributes with stochastic rewards. An arm is considered feasible only if all its attributes’ means are above a given threshold. The aim is to find the feasible arm with the largest overall mean. We first derive a lower bound on the error probability for any algorithm on this setting. We then propose Feasibility Constrained Successive Rejects […]

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arXiv:2603.03922v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Inverse problems are the task of calibrating models to match data. They play a pivotal role in diverse engineering applications by allowing practitioners to align models with reality. In many applications, engineers and scientists do not have a complete picture of i) the detailed properties of a system (such as material properties, geometry, initial conditions, etc.); ii) the complete laws describing all dynamics at play (such as friction laws, complicated damping phenomena, and […]

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arXiv:2603.03819v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Regression discontinuity designs (RDD) are widely used for causal inference. In many empirical applications, treatment effects vary substantially with covariates, and ignoring such heterogeneity can lead to misleading conclusions, which motivates flexible modeling of heterogeneous treatment effects in RDD. To this end, we propose a Bayesian nonparametric approach to estimating heterogeneous treatment effects based on Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART). The key feature of our method lies in adopting a general Bayesian framework […]

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