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arXiv:2603.23318v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Among the different possible strategies for evaluating the reliability of individual predictions of classifiers, robustness quantification stands out as a method that evaluates how much uncertainty a classifier could cope with before changing its prediction. However, its applicability is more limited than some of its alternatives, since it requires the use of generative models and restricts the analyses either to specific model architectures or discrete features. In this work, we propose a new […]

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arXiv:2603.23302v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study nonparametric covariance function estimation for functional data observed with noise at discrete locations on a $d$-dimensional domain. Estimating the covariance function from discretely observed data is a challenging nonparametric problem, particularly in multidimensional settings, since the covariance function is defined on a product domain and thus suffers from the curse of dimensionality. This motivates the use of adaptive estimators, such as deep learning estimators. However, existing theoretical results are largely limited […]

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arXiv:2603.23220v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We study learning under regime variation, where the learner, its memory state, and the evaluative conditions may evolve over time. This paper is a foundational and structural contribution: its goal is to define the core learning-theoretic objects required for such settings and to establish their first theorem-supporting consequences. The paper develops a regime-varying framework centered on admissible transport, protected-core preservation, and evaluator-aware learning evolution. It records the immediate closure consequences of admissibility, develops […]

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arXiv:2603.23196v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this work, we investigate Gaussian Mixture Models ({it abbrv} GMM) and the related problem of non parametric maximum likelihood estimation ({it abbrv} NPMLE) from the perspective of statistical mechanics. In particular, we establish stability guarantees for the NPMLE procedure that extend well beyond the state of the art. Crucially, we obtain guarantees on the Kullback-Leibler divergence between NPMLE estimators and the ground truth, a type of result which has been known to […]

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arXiv:2603.22964v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generalization is a central concept in machine learning theory, yet for quantum models, it is predominantly analyzed through uniform bounds that depend on a model’s overall capacity rather than the specific function learned. These capacity-based uniform bounds are often too loose and entirely insensitive to the actual training and learning process. Previous theoretical guarantees have failed to provide non-uniform, data-dependent bounds that reflect the specific properties of the learned solution rather than the […]

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arXiv:2603.22900v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Optimizing survival outcomes, such as patient survival or customer retention, is a critical objective in data-driven decision-making. Off-Policy Evaluation~(OPE) provides a powerful framework for assessing such decision-making policies using logged data alone, without the need for costly or risky online experiments in high-stakes applications. However, typical estimators are not designed to handle right-censored survival outcomes, as they ignore unobserved survival times beyond the censoring time, leading to systematic underestimation of the true policy […]

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arXiv:2603.22824v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Implicit bias induced by gradient-based algorithms is essential to the generalization of overparameterized models, yet its mechanisms can be subtle. This work leverages the Normalized Steepest Descent} (NSD) framework to investigate how optimization geometry shapes solutions on multiclass separable data. We introduce NucGD, a geometry-aware optimizer designed to enforce low rank structures through nuclear norm constraints. Beyond the algorithm itself, we connect NucGD with emerging low-rank projection methods, providing a unified perspective. To […]

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arXiv:2603.22741v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generating samples from a continuous probability density is a central algorithmic problem across statistics, engineering, and the sciences. For high-dimensional settings, Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is the default algorithm across mainstream software packages. However, despite the extensive line of work on HMC and its widespread empirical success, it remains unclear how many iterations of HMC are required as a function of the dimension $d$. On one hand, a variety of results show that […]

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arXiv:2603.22465v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Federated Learning (FL) is constrained by the communication and energy limitations of decentralized edge devices. While gradient sparsification via Top-K magnitude pruning effectively reduces the communication payload, it remains inherently energy-agnostic. It assumes all parameter updates incur identical downstream transmission and memory-update costs, ignoring hardware realities. We formalize the pruning process as an energy-constrained projection problem that accounts for the hardware-level disparities between memory-intensive and compute-efficient operations during the post-backpropagation phase. We propose […]

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arXiv:2603.22328v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Despite the strong predictive performance achieved by machine learning models across many application domains, assessing their trustworthiness through reliable estimates of predictive confidence remains a critical challenge. This issue arises in scenarios where the likelihood of error inferred from learned representations follows a bimodal distribution, resulting from the coexistence of confident and ambiguous predictions. Standard regression approaches often struggle to adequately express this predictive uncertainty, as they implicitly assume unimodal Gaussian noise, leading […]

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