SYN-DIGITS: A Synthetic Control Framework for Calibrated Digital Twin Simulation
arXiv:2604.07513v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: AI-based persona simulation — often referred to as digital twin simulation — is increasingly used for market research, recommender systems, and social sciences. Despite their flexibility, large language models (LLMs) often exhibit systematic bias and miscalibration relative to real human behavior, limiting their reliability. Inspired by synthetic control methods from causal inference, we propose SYN-DIGITS (SYNthetic Control Framework for Calibrated DIGItal Twin Simulation), a principled and lightweight calibration framework that learns latent structure […]