Learning Response-Statistic Shifts and Parametric Roll Episodes from Wave–Vessel Time Series via LSTM Functional Models
Parametric roll is a rare but high-consequence instability that can trigger abrupt regime changes in ship response, including pronounced shifts in roll statistics and tail risk. This paper develops a data-driven surrogate that learns the nonlinear, causal functional mapping from incident wave–motion time series to vessel motions, and demonstrates that the surrogate reproduces both (i) parametric roll episodes and (ii) the associated statistical shifts in the response. Crucially, the learning framework is data-source agnostic: the paired wave–motion time […]