Beyond Mixtures and Products for Ensemble Aggregation: A Likelihood Perspective on Generalized Means
arXiv:2603.04204v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Density aggregation is a central problem in machine learning, for instance when combining predictions from a Deep Ensemble. The choice of aggregation remains an open question with two commonly proposed approaches being linear pooling (probability averaging) and geometric pooling (logit averaging). In this work, we address this question by studying the normalized generalized mean of order $r in mathbb{R} cup {-infty,+infty}$ through the lens of log-likelihood, the standard evaluation criterion in machine learning. […]