March 2026

arXiv:2512.20305v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accelerated failure time (AFT) models provide a direct and interpretable time-scale description of covariate effects in lifetime data analysis, but classical formulations rely on linear predictors and are therefore limited in their ability to represent nonlinear relationships. Moreover, in heterogeneous clinical settings with complex covariate structures and varying censoring mechanisms, standard survival models such as the Cox proportional hazards model or AFT formulations may be inadequate due to restrictive structural assumptions. We propose […]

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arXiv:2509.22459v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While achieving exceptional generative quality, modern diffusion, flow, and other matching models suffer from slow inference, as they require many steps of iterative generation. Recent distillation methods address this by training efficient one-step generators under the guidance of a pre-trained teacher model. However, these methods are often constrained to only one specific framework, e.g., only to diffusion or only to flow models. Furthermore, these methods are naturally data-free, and to benefit from the […]

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arXiv:2502.08416v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Across many domains of science, stochastic models are an essential tool to understand the mechanisms underlying empirically observed data. Models can be of different levels of detail and accuracy, with models of high-fidelity (i.e., high accuracy) to the phenomena under study being often preferable. However, inferring parameters of high-fidelity models via simulation-based inference is challenging, especially when the simulator is computationally expensive. We introduce a multifidelity approach to neural posterior estimation that uses […]

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arXiv:2501.00744v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Chest X-ray (CXR) images are among the most commonly used diagnostic imaging modalities in clinical practice. Stringent privacy constraints often limit the public dissemination of patient CXR images, contributing to the increasing use of synthetic images produced by deep generative models for data sharing and training machine learning models. Given the high-stakes downstream applications of CXR images, it is crucial to evaluate how faithfully synthetic images reflect the underlying target distribution. We propose […]

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arXiv:2402.01972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We introduce efficient plug-in (EP) learning, a novel framework for the estimation of heterogeneous causal contrasts, such as the conditional average treatment effect and conditional relative risk. The EP-learning framework enjoys the same oracle efficiency as Neyman-orthogonal learning strategies, such as DR-learning and R-learning, while addressing some of their primary drawbacks: (i) their practical applicability can be hindered by non-convex loss functions; and (ii) they may suffer from poor performance and instability due […]

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arXiv:2312.03871v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In the era of fast-paced precision medicine, observational studies play a major role in properly evaluating new treatments in clinical practice. Yet, unobserved confounding can significantly compromise causal conclusions drawn from non-randomized data. We propose a novel strategy that leverages randomized trials to quantify unobserved confounding. First, we design a statistical test to detect unobserved confounding with strength above a given threshold. Then, we use the test to estimate an asymptotically valid lower […]

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arXiv:2603.19160v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Prediction-powered inference (PPI) is a rapidly growing framework for combining machine learning predictions with a small set of gold-standard labels to conduct valid statistical inference. In this article, I argue that the core estimators underlying PPI are equivalent to well-established estimators from the survey sampling literature dating back to the 1970s. Specifically, the PPI estimator for a population mean is algebraically equivalent to the difference estimator of Cassel et al. (1976), and PPI […]

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arXiv:2603.19108v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This report examines numerical aspects of constructing Karhunen-Lo`{e}ve expansions (KLEs) for second-order stochastic processes. The KLE relies on the spectral decomposition of the covariance operator via the Fredholm integral equation of the second kind, which is then discretized on a computational grid, leading to an eigendecomposition task. We derive the algebraic equivalence between this Fredholm-based eigensolution and the singular value decomposition of the weight-scaled sample matrix, yielding consistent solutions for both model-based and […]

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arXiv:2603.19061v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We establish new exponential in dimension lower bounds for the Maximum Halfspace Discrepancy problem, which models linear classification. Both are fundamental problems in computational geometry and machine learning in their exact and approximate forms. However, only $O(n^d)$ and respectively $tilde O(1/varepsilon^d)$ upper bounds are known and complemented by polynomial lower bounds that do not support the exponential in dimension dependence. We close this gap up to polylogarithmic terms by reduction from widely-believed hardness […]

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arXiv:2603.19058v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Non-Gaussian statistics are a challenge for data assimilation. Linear methods oversimplify the problem, yet fully nonlinear methods are often too expensive to use in practice. The best solution usually lies between these extremes. Triangular measure transport offers a flexible framework for nonlinear data assimilation. Its success, however, depends on how the map is parametrized. Too much flexibility leads to overfitting; too little misses important structure. To address this balance, we develop an adaptation […]

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