February 2026

arXiv:2602.03970v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study the statistical behaviour of reasoning probes in a stylized model of looped reasoning, given by Boolean circuits whose computational graph is a perfect $nu$-ary tree ($nuge 2$) and whose output is appended to the input and fed back iteratively for subsequent computation rounds. A reasoning probe has access to a sampled subset of internal computation nodes, possibly without covering the entire graph, and seeks to infer which $nu$-ary Boolean gate is […]

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arXiv:2601.19186v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Fairness is a central pillar of trustworthy machine learning, especially in domains where accuracy- or profit-driven optimization is insufficient. While most fairness research focuses on supervised learning, fairness in policy learning remains less explored. Because policy learning is interventional, it induces two distinct fairness targets: action fairness (equitable action assignments) and outcome fairness (equitable downstream consequences). Crucially, equalizing actions does not generally equalize outcomes when groups face different constraints or respond differently to […]

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arXiv:2510.12636v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The default Gaussian latent in flow-based generative models poses challenges when learning certain distributions such as heavy-tailed ones. We introduce a general framework for learning data-adaptive latent distributions using one-dimensional quantile functions, optimized via the Wasserstein distance between noise and data. The quantile-based parameterization naturally adapts to both heavy-tailed and compactly supported distributions and shortens transport paths. Numerical results confirm the method’s flexibility and effectiveness achieved with negligible computational overhead.

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arXiv:2509.21996v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Hawkes process models are used in settings where past events increase the likelihood of future events occurring. Many applications record events as counts on a regular grid, yet discrete-time Hawkes models remain comparatively underused and are often constrained by fixed-form baselines and excitation kernels. In particular, there is a lack of flexible, nonparametric treatments of both the baseline and the excitation in discrete time. To this end, we propose the Gaussian Process Discrete […]

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arXiv:2507.09093v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We study convergence in high-probability of SGD-type methods in non-convex optimization and the presence of heavy-tailed noise. To combat the heavy-tailed noise, a general black-box nonlinear framework is considered, subsuming nonlinearities like sign, clipping, normalization and their smooth counterparts. Our first result shows that nonlinear SGD (N-SGD) achieves the rate $widetilde{mathcal{O}}(t^{-1/2})$, for any noise with unbounded moments and a symmetric probability density function (PDF). Crucially, N-SGD has exponentially decaying tails, matching the performance […]

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arXiv:2505.21208v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: This article presents an input convex neural network architecture using Kolmogorov-Arnold networks (ICKAN). Two specific networks are presented: the first is based on a low-order, linear-by-part, representation of functions, and a universal approximation theorem is provided. The second is based on cubic splines, for which only numerical results support convergence. We demonstrate on simple tests that these networks perform competitively with classical input convex neural networks (ICNNs). In a second part, we use […]

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arXiv:2505.17133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Probabilities of causation play a central role in modern decision making. Tian and Pearl first introduced formal definitions and derived tight bounds for three binary probabilities of causation, such as the probability of necessity and sufficiency (PNS). However, estimating these probabilities requires both experimental and observational distributions specific to each subpopulation, which are often unreliable or impractical to obtain from limited population-level data. To solve this problem, we propose two machine learning models: […]

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arXiv:2408.00955v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Gaussian process (GP) models have received increasing attention in recent years due to their superb prediction accuracy and modeling flexibility. To address the computational burdens of GP models for large-scale datasets, distributed learning for GPs are often adopted. Current aggregation models for distributed GPs is not time-efficient when incorporating correlations between GP experts. In this work, we propose a novel approach for aggregated prediction in distributed GPs. The technique is suitable for both […]

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arXiv:2602.10056v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We introduce WildCat, a high-accuracy, low-cost approach to compressing the attention mechanism in neural networks. While attention is a staple of modern network architectures, it is also notoriously expensive to deploy due to resource requirements that scale quadratically with the input sequence length $n$. WildCat avoids these quadratic costs by only attending over a small weighted coreset. Crucially, we select the coreset using a fast but spectrally-accurate subsampling algorithm — randomly pivoted Cholesky […]

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arXiv:2602.10045v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Current instance segmentation models achieve high performance on average predictions, but lack principled uncertainty quantification: their outputs are not calibrated, and there is no guarantee that a predicted mask is close to the ground truth. To address this limitation, we introduce a conformal prediction algorithm to generate adaptive confidence sets for instance segmentation. Given an image and a pixel coordinate query, our algorithm generates a confidence set of instance predictions for that pixel, […]

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